The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. Saturday, February 25, 2023. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Whereas Tester . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. You can't imitate a worldview. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. 2,. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Today those numbers have flipped. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. RSS Loading. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. send a tweet. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. File Upload. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. r/fivethirtyeight. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. david senak now. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts I'm Galen Truk. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . 04:58 PM. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." All rights reserved. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. . Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Thanks! They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it.
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